Support Mission on Emission Scenario Modelling

Date: 01-03.04.2015
Place: Belgrade, Serbia
Organizer: ECRAN Secretariat with EC TAIEX Unit

There is a need to start developing concrete climate policies based on full alignment with the EU Climate acquis and GHG emission reduction target setting. At present the absence of national or regional targets and roadmaps towards implementation of these targets hamper the development of robust climate policies in the region and thus low emission development. ECRAN could provide the platform to start a regional work on this topic.

Climate policy related strategy development as well as fulfilling the reporting requirements of Annex I countries towards the UNFCCC, similarly to the EU acquis requires detailed modelling of emission scenarios on country level.

In most ECRAN beneficiaries there is experience in modelling aided scenario work, especially in the framework of the preparations of National Communications. However, in many cases this work has been designed and outsourced by international organisations or other external organisations without adequate involvement or ownership of the results by the countries. As such, the knowledge base within the administrations on modelling aided scenario work is limited.

In terms of technical requirements, the focus of the training will be on one specific modelling platform, the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP) which has been developed by the Stockholm Environmental Institute. Of the 8 beneficiaries of ECRAN 6 are already using LEAP, and one (Kosovo[1]) has expressed interest in using it.

Objective of the Training

The specific objective of the training is to increase the understanding of emission scenario modelling in the Serbian government administration, with the purpose of enabling them to commission and use the results of emission scenario modelling work. The modelling aided scenario work will benefit Serbia by helping them meet their future EU and UNFCCC reporting requirements, and to form a rational position on national efforts contributing to the EU 2050 roadmap and the 2030 Framework, and may assist them by promoting evidence based planning in energy policy, including in the development of an energy strategy, energy efficiency action plan and renewable energy action plan.

Expected Results of the Workshop

The expected result is enhanced capacity within the relevant ministries and institutions (in particular ministries responsible for climate, energy, transport) to implement specific policies and measures to converge with the EU climate change policy and selected EU legislation.

1 This designation is without prejudice to positions on status, and is in line with UNSCR 1244 and the ICJ opinion on the Kosovo declaration of independence.